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Hubble shows Milky Way is destined for head-on collision with Andromeda Galaxy

The Hubble Space Telescope team conducted extraordinarily precise observations of the sideways motion of M31 that remove any doubt that it is destined to collide and merge with our galaxy.
By STScl, Baltimore, Maryland, NASA Headquarters, Washington, D.C. Published: June 1, 2012
Milky-Way-and-Andromeda
This photo illustration depicts a view of the night sky just before the predicted merger between our Milky Way Galaxy and the neighboring Andromeda Galaxy. About 3.75 billion years from now, Andromeda's disk fills the field of view and its gravity begins to create tidal distortions in the Milky Way. The view is inspired by dynamical computer modeling of the future collision between the two galaxies. The two galaxies collide about 4 billion years from now and merge to form a single galaxy about 6 billion years from now. Credit: NASA/ESA/Z. Levay and R. van der Marel (STScI)/A. Mellinger
NASA astronomers announced Thursday, May 31, that they can now predict with certainty the next major cosmic event to affect our galaxy, the Sun, and the solar system: the titanic collision of our Milky Way Galaxy with the neighboring Andromeda Galaxy (M31).

The Milky Way is destined to get a major makeover during the encounter, which is predicted to happen 4 billion years from now. It is likely that the Sun will be flung into a new region of our galaxy, but Earth and the solar system are in no danger of being destroyed.

"Our findings are statistically consistent with a head-on collision between the Andromeda Galaxy and our Milky Way Galaxy," said Roeland van der Marel from the Space Telescope Science Institute (STScI) in Baltimore, Maryland.
The solution came through painstaking NASA Hubble Space Telescope measurements of the motion of Andromeda. The galaxy is now 2.5 million light-years away, but it is inexorably falling toward the Milky Way under the mutual pull of gravity between the two galaxies and the invisible dark matter that surrounds them both.

"After nearly a century of speculation about the future destiny of Andromeda and our Milky Way, we at last have a clear picture of how events will unfold over the coming billions of years," said Sangmo Tony Sohn from STScI.

The scenario is like a baseball batter watching an oncoming fastball. Although Andromeda is approaching us more than 2 thousand times faster, it will take 4 billion years before the strike.

Computer simulations derived from Hubble's data show that it will take an additional 2 billion years after the encounter for the interacting galaxies to completely merge under the tug of gravity and reshape into a single elliptical galaxy similar to the kind commonly seen in the local universe. Although the galaxies will plow into each other, stars inside each galaxy are so far apart that they will not collide with other stars during the encounter; however, the stars will be thrown into different orbits around the new galactic center. Simulations show that our solar system will probably be tossed much farther from the galactic core than it is today.

To make matters more complicated, M31's small companion, the Triangulum Galaxy (M33), will join in the collision and perhaps later merge with the M31/Milky Way pair. There is a small chance that M33 will hit the Milky Way first.

The universe is expanding and accelerating, and collisions between galaxies in close proximity to each other still happen because they are bound by the gravity of the dark matter surrounding them. The Hubble Space Telescope's deep views of the universe show such encounters between galaxies were more common in the past when the universe was smaller.

A century ago, astronomers did not realize that M31 was a separate galaxy far beyond the stars of the Milky Way. Edwin Hubble measured its vast distance by uncovering a variable star that served as a "milepost marker."

Hubble went on to discover the expanding universe where galaxies are rushing away from us, but it has long been known that M31 is moving toward the Milky Way at about 250,000 mph (400,000 km/h). That is fast enough to travel from here to the Moon in one hour. The measurement was made using the Doppler effect, which is a change in frequency and wavelength of waves produced by a moving source relative to an observer, to measure how starlight in the galaxy has been compressed by Andromeda's motion toward us.

Previously, it was unknown whether the far-future encounter will be a miss, glancing blow, or head-on smashup. This depends on M31's tangential motion. Until now, astronomers had not been able to measure M31's sideways motion in the sky, despite attempts dating back more than a century. The Hubble Space Telescope team, led by van der Marel, conducted extraordinarily precise observations of the sideways motion of M31 that remove any doubt that it is destined to collide and merge with the Milky Way.

"This was accomplished by repeatedly observing select regions of the galaxy over a five- to seven-year period," said Jay Anderson from STScI.

"In the 'worst-case-scenario' simulation, M31 slams into the Milky Way head-on and the stars are all scattered into different orbits," said Gurtina Besla of Columbia University in New York. "The stellar populations of both galaxies are jostled, and the Milky Way loses its flattened pancake shape with most of the stars on nearly circular orbits. The galaxies' cores merge, and the stars settle into randomized orbits to create an elliptical-shaped galaxy."

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5 stars
STEPHEN ARMSTRONG from CALIFORNIA said:
And, Ray, you must understand that, compared to their relative SIZES, galaxies are huge and close together. The Andromeda Galaxy is 2.538 MLY away, only 25 Milky Way diameters, or so. If the Sun were a golf ball, 42.67 mm in diameter, then the nearest star would be 31,146,7070 solar diameters away. Stars NEVER collide, except when they do. Galaxies USUALLY collide. It's a scalar thing.
5 stars
STEPHEN ARMSTRONG from CALIFORNIA said:
Mr. Stenton's comments are, indeed, correct, that, after 4 billion years, there would be a significant delta factor involved in any calculations. This FACT is often overlooked in long-distance positional calculations, due to the COMPOUNDING effects of this level of time passage. Imagine, during that 4 BILLION years, a motion of 100 million light-years (LY) occurred. OK. Another 100 MILLION years passes, and the object travels 620,000 LY. OK. Another 620,000 YEARS pass, and we're at the object. A significant flux from unity, BTW.

Also, EVERYONE, please discount every single thing Bill Simpson fro Louisiana says. EVERYTHING! Sometimes, I believe his by-line is a plant, meant to distract us from deeper thoughts, pondering his ignorance. After many months of reviews, I find his rants both drunken and rife with stupefaction, derived from the intent to deny us scientists of our endeavours while responding to his drivel. Waste none!
RAY GREWE from CALIFORNIA said:
Bill, I agree with your cynicism. Even with computer simulations that would show the apparent safety of Earth when the collision happens, I don't think there is any real guarantee that anyone, or any simulation could make that Earth won't somehow be affected. But let's face it - no one born a hundred million years from tomorrow will be concerned with it. I think it's nice that they made the discovery, but why do they bother telling us about something that will not occur for four billion years? And will human kind (in any form) still be here? To what you said about fossil fuels running out, along with population and sustainability issues, I have doubts we will see the 22nd century. That's just MY cynicism talking.

Also, I have a problem with the idea that there will be absolutely no cases of stellar collisions. I understand that the distances between individual stars is immense, but to say that there will not be any instances at all of two stellar bodies running into each other seems a bit of a stretch. Maybe collisions among stars will be the exception rather than the rule, but I think that some stars are bound to collide. When the members of either galaxy begin to mingle (and it's even stated in the article that the stars will get jostled and moved into other random orbits), wouldn't gravitation cause some bodies to get too close to one another, leading to a possible collision?
5 stars
BRIAN UGARTE from NEVADA said:
The only thing I can really write is that the sky at that point of time would be very interesting. What wonders await when both galaxies interact? At such close quarters, stars belonging to another galaxy should look almost as if the belonged to our own. Oh well, I suppose speculation is all we little humans can really do.
5 stars
BILL SIMPSON from LOUISIANA said:
I liked the 'how safe the Earth will be', part of the article.
Lets assume our descendants manage to survive millions of years into the future, which is probably the exception with any animal species. ( I'll ignore the very real possibility of the collapse of industrial civilization once the fossil fuels that power it run out during the next century, and assume that wind and solar will power everything.)
In about 100 million years, the Sun will start to run low on hydrogen and begin to work on heavier elements. That will greatly increase its' energy output. It will also begin to get a LOT bigger. The oceans on Earth will be boiled away and the surface heated to hundreds of degrees. Should the surface of the expanding Sun get close enough to the Earth, it might boil it into vapor.
Human ancestors, who won't look like us, would have had to flee this planet long before Andromeda gets anywhere near here.
I like these articles about millions of years in the future. Do these folks realize the bad things that could happen in a million years, much less a billion. Yellowstone blows up next week and humans might be extinct in a year. A big comet comes out from behind the Sun and nails Earth, and you won't see 2014.
Sorry to be so cynical, but I had a bad experience at the vehicle inspection certificate place. Little did they know that I had just erased the error code on the dashboard with my scanner, so they put a sticker on a defective vehicle. I beat the system again, so it was worth the rude treatment. And of course, they were wrong. They are going to 2 year inspection intervals. I feel better now.
5 stars
WILLIAM BEDNAR from ILLINOIS said:
It has been noted by a number of astronomers that both the Andromeda and Milky Way galaxies have super massive black holes at their respective centers. As these two galaxies merge, their respective black holes should merge as well. That would be an event to see!
ROBERT STENTON from OHIO said:
I'm not worried about the odds of hitting a star at 250,000 m/h. But after 4 billion years of falling, would not the galaxies pick up speed? And if so, would not there be some collisions somewhere between two moons or astroids resulting in million m/h debris? And would not this debris at that speed cause a domino effect resulting in ever more debris? And would not even a small hit at such speeds cause a problem for whoever is wherever alive?
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